PRISM’s Economic Barometer Mid Year 2009
For more Information contact PRISM International (jim@prismintl.org)
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The information management industry remains resilient in tough economic times; in measuring changes between Q4 2008 and Q1 of 2009 there is a slight downward trend in some key indicators. In all measures, survey respondents remain optimistic about sales, show increases in items in storage over the previous year, and most did not implement any types of cost saving measures during the first quarter of 2009. In addition, job losses have not affected the industry in any significant way, but they are increasing (albeit slightly). Job growth continues to outpace losses in the first quarter of 2009 but the gap is narrowing. Most members did not require credit in the fourth quarter; for those using credit, the market remains tight. Most members who sought credit were able to find it. Web based marketing jumped ahead of existing customers to become the most productive channel for marketing. Almost all respondents continue exploring ways to broaden their customer base and increase their value proposition to existing clients as a means of responding to the economic downturn. Some capital improvements and investments are being delayed by respondents – so renegotiation of terms with vendors is taking place. In Q1 2009, as in the previous quarter, the industry seems to have weathered the financial storm very well and, according to respondents, is positioned for continued growth in 2009.
INTRODUCTION
This is the second in a series of quarterly business barometer studies conducted during this period of general global economic downturn. This summary measures the first quarter of 2009. 43 members out of 440 total company members responded to the survey (9.7%).
The survey instrument was designed to measure real growth or decline, attitudes regarding growth or decline, productive and non-productive marketing strategies, growing and declining service offerings, and the availability or restriction of credit and financing. Measurements were also sought regarding new hiring or force reduction, response strategies to the economic downturn, receivables aging and capital projects. The results of the survey are outlined below.
39% OF RESPONDENTS REPORT THAT ITEMS IN STORAGE HAVE INCREASED BY MORE THAN 10 PERCENT COMPARED Q1 2008. In addition, 25 % of respondents reported that their inventory of items in storage increased less than 10% and 28% reported no change. Only 7% of survey respondents reported a decline of items in storage compared to the previous year, and this decline was less than 10%. (Note: Compared to Q4 2008, Q1 2009’s rate of growth slowed by more than 10%)
HARD COPY RECORDS STORAGE REMAINS THE FASTEST GROWING SERVICE OFFERING FOR 60% OF RESPONDENTS. Shredding services captured second place among respondents with 28%. Scanning was a close third with 21%. Tape storage and digital records storage indicated the lowest rates of growth among respondents.
INDUSTRY CONTINUES TO REPORT MORE NEW HIRES THAN LAYOFFS – 60% OF EMPLOYERS REPORT THAT EMPLOYEE HEAD COUNT IS UNCHANGED. 11% of employees have lowered their total number of employees by less than 10% and 2% of respondents have lowered their headcount by more than 10%. 14% of respondents have increased their number of employees by less than 10%. 11% of employers have increased employees by more than 10%. (Note: Compared to Q4 2008, employee head count is growing at an almost flat pace.)
SEARCH ENGINE AND WEBSITE LEADS SURPASS EXISTING CLIENTS IN MARKETING RESULTS. 51% of respondents reported website and search engines generated the majority of their marketing results. Existing clients fell to 36%.Yellow pages and direct mail marketing scored poorly on the survey. Face to face marketing is still a mainstay of the industry with networking scoring 27% and cold calling scoring 18% as the most productive marketing strategy for respondents.
HALF OF RESPONDENTS DID NOT IMPLEMENT ANY TYPE OF COST SAVING MEASURES IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2009. 32% of respondents reported delaying capital improvements. 19% of respondents reported reducing employee hours. In addition to categories measured several respondents indicated that they had “reviewed and altered vendor or supplier agreements.” Others reported they had “eliminated overtime,” “initiated more expense monitoring or strict control of expenses,” and acted to “reduce operating costs.”
75% of respondents reported future plans to lower expenses and 12% of respondents plan to postpone investments to deal with the current downturn. 87% of respondents plan to search for new clients and 65% plan to increase value of services to retain clients as a response to current economic conditions. Other strategies respondents volunteered included “adding branches to help with regional deals,” “telemarketing,” “adding and retraining sales staff,” “major overhaul on website including e-mail offers.”
38% OF RESPONDENTS DID NOT REQUIRE CREDIT IN Q1 2009. An additional 31% did not notice a difference in available credit. Among the remainder of respondents, 14% found available credit with greater restrictions (or scrutiny), 7% found credit with greater restrictions and a higher interest rate and 7% of respondents did not find a source of credit.
60% OF RESPONDENTS SAW NO DECLINE OF CASH FLOW DUE TO RECEIVABLES AGING. One third of respondents responded by increasing collections calls. Only 10% responded by restricting services until overdue accounts were paid. 2% responded by initiating legal action to collect. .One respondent reported “responding to customer’s requests for additional time to maintain cash balances.”
RECORDS ABANDONMENT IS ON THE RISE. 53% noticed no change in the number of clients abandoning records (down from 80% in Q4); 28% saw a moderate increase and 14% noticed a significant increase. Respondents reported “shredding is 25% higher,” “more [abandonment] in first quarter than in last 10 years,” and “several clients [have abandoned] but not with many boxes.”
THE FUTURE LOOKS BRIGHT! 53% of respondents are moderately optimistic about the next 12 months. 16% are very optimistic. 16% are neutral. Only 9% of respondents are moderately pessimistic about the next 12 months – 5% of respondents were very pessimistic. 63% of respondents are expecting a moderate increase in sales; 14% of respondents are expecting a sharp increase in sales. Only 4% of respondents anticipate a decline in sales in the next six months. (Note: This number is trending upward toward moderate growth from Q4 2008.)
IN 2009 MORE THAN HALF OF RESPONDENTS (51%) EXPECT THEIR COMPANY’S REVENUE TO GROW BY MORE THAN 10%. An additional 32% expect their revenue to grow by less than 10%. Nine percent of respondents are anticipating no growth or decline and 5% anticipate a decline of less than 10 % in revenues – 2% anticipate a decline of more than 10% in revenue.
For more Information contact PRISM International (jim@prismintl.org)
